Posted on: January 4, 2011 3:24 pm
Edited on: January 4, 2011 3:29 pm

D-1A Football Playoffs -- Quarterfinals

The beauty of this system is that anything could happen, much like the basketball tournament. The fact is that any team can lose on any day. Does that mean that a team is better than another team? Not necessarily. But, even if a one team can beat another 99 times out of 100, that still leaves the other team a shot. With that, I bring you the quarterfinals. These are not my opinions or desires (as you will later see); these are based on computer simulations. They represent one possible outcome that can happen, and on this day, did happen.

Thanks again to whatifsports.com for their simulation machine.

8) Michigan St. at 1) Auburn (Played at the Sugar Bowl)


Auburn starts with the ball but is quickly forced to punt. After two plays, Cousins throws a touchdown pass to Dell to put the Spartans up early. After another Auburn punt, Cousins throws an interception that is returned to the MSU 18. The next play, Fannin finds the end zone to tie the game. On the next drive, Cousins is picked off again. This time, though, Auburn can only get a field goal, this from 46 yards out. Three plays into the next drive, Cousins completes a pass to Dell, but Dell fumbles and Auburn recovers. On the first play of the 2nd, Byrum kicks another field goal for Auburn, from 44 yards. The Spartans get the ball and manage to not turn it over as they drive down the field and get three points from a 23 yard field goal by Conroy. Defenses then ramp up and both teams are forced to punt several times. MSU takes the last drive of the half 86 yards down the field and kicks the tying field goal as time expires. HALFTIME SCORE 13-13.


MSU takes the opening drive of the half and marches down the field in 10 plays capped by a 5 yard pass from Cousins to Dell for a touchdown. Auburn is forced into a three and out on their opening possession. MSU gets the ball back and ends up kicking a 34-yard field goal. After both teams punt, Auburn takes the ball 71 yards in only four plays. Dyer scores the touchdown from 48 yards out. But, the extra point attempt is blocked. The 4th opens with a punt from MSU. The Tigers have another short drive (just over 3 minutes) and Fannin finds the end zone from the 1 to take a 3 point lead. On MSU’s next drive, after converting a 4th and 4, Cousins completes a 21-yard pass to Linthicum to retake the lead. After an Auburn three and out, MSU is able to get another field goal, this one from 47 yards out to increase the lead to 7. Two plays later, Auburn ties the game on a rush by Hooper. MSU, though, is not done. Bell finds the end zone from 25 yards out with 1:06 on the clock to put the Spartans up by 7. It only takes 49 seconds for Auburn to tie it up. McCalebb scores from 10 yards out and we are going to overtime. AFTER REGULATION 40-40.


MSU starts with the ball and scores on its second play, a 24-yard pass from Cousins to Bell. Auburn starts from the 25. After a few short plays, it comes down to 4th and 7. Newton’s pass is just out of McCalebb reach in the end zone and Sparty pulls off a monumental upset. MSU WINS 47-40 IN OT.



5) Stanford at 4) Wisconsin (Played at the Orange Bowl)


Stanford starts with the ball and puts together a good drive…until Luck is intercepted at the Badger 27. It only takes Wisconsin five plays to go 73 yards and score the first touchdown. After both teams punt, Stanford drives down the field again, this time scoring a field goal from 37 yards out. After both teams punt again, Wisconsin gets the ball in the beginning of the 2nd and Ball breaks one for 73 yards and a touchdown. Stanford starts another decent drive, but it stalls. Whitaker is able to get them three points off a 49-yard field goal. Both defenses step up and force punts for the rest of the half. HALFTIME SCORE 14-6 WISCONSIN.


Wisconsin opens the game with a three and out. Stanford, starting from their own 5, puts together a good drive, but they fail to convert on a 4th and 1. Wisconsin starts to roll the other way until Tolzien is picked off. Stanford drives down again, but they are once again held to a field goal, this form 37 yards out. After getting backed up deep in their own territory, White gets the ball on Wisconsin’s third play and takes it 92 yards to the house. Both teams trade punts to open the 4th. Then, Luck starts to get on a roll. He leads the Cardinal down the field, ending the drive with a 10-yard pass to Owusu for a touchdown. But, Wisconsin answers right back as Clay pounds one in from four yards out. On Stanford’s next possession, Luck finds Owusu again in the end zone from seven yards out to cut the deficit to five points. After forcing a punt, Stanford gets the ball back with 1:21 on the clock. With 15 seconds left and the ball at the Badgers 37, Luck is intercepted by Antonio Fenelus. WISCONSIN WINS 28-23.



11) Virginia Tech at 3) Texas Christian (Played at the Fiesta Bowl)


On the first play from scrimmage, Evans takes the ball 69 yards for a VT touchdown. After a good kickoff return, the Horned Frogs are able to get a few yards, but the drive stalls and they settle for a 47-yard Evans field goal. From there, VT is forced to punt and both kickers miss long field goals to end the 1st. To open the 2nd, Dalton throws a 35-yard touchdown pass to Brock, but the extra point is missed. Defenses control the next several drives: VT punts three times, TCU punts once and throws a pick. The last VT punt is returned all the way to Tech’s 26. Four plays later, Dalton throws another TD pass to Brock from five yards out. HALFTIME SCORE 16-7 TCU.


TCU goes three and out on the opening drive of the half. The Hokies take over and drive down the field, but can only manage a field goal from 35 yards. TCU answers right back with a 28-yard field goal of their own five minutes later. The two teams trade punts to end the 3rd. VT punts again to open the 4th and the Horned Frogs get another great return to set up a short field. Four plays later, Dalton throw another touchdown, this one to Young from 18 yards out. After a VT three and out, Dalton leads TCU down the field again and throws his fourth TD. He finds Kerley from four yards out. VT manages to score on their next drive, a pass from Taylor to Coale, and a 2-pointer by Wilson. But, it is too little, too late. TCU WINS 33-18.



10) Boise St. at 2) Oregon (Played at the Rose Bowl)


The Broncos start out quick. Three plays into the opening drive, Moore throws a pass to Martin and he runs 49 yards for a TD. Not to be outdone, Oregon takes their opening drive 79 yards, capping it off with a Thomas touchdown pass to Huff from 31 yards out. Boise drives down the field again, but they stall at the 4 and settle for a Brotzman field goal. The two teams trade punts to end the 1st. Oregon punts again to open the 2nd. After seven plays, Martin scores again, this time on the ground from 4 yards out. Oregon begins to drive down the field , but Thomas is picked off at the BSU 21. The Broncos are forced to go three and out, which will eventually lead to a 46-yard field goal for Beard of Oregon. Brotzman answers with a field goal of his own after the Broncos next drive. The Ducks are then forced into a three and out. On the ensuing play, Martin breaks off a 59 yard run for another touchdown. Oregon goes three and out again and Boise receives the punt with 28 seconds and all three timeouts. They are able to work into field goal range and Brotzman nails a 46-yarder as time expires. HALFTIME SCORE 30-10 BSU


The second half begins with both offenses going three and out. Oregon then takes over and James breaks off a 57 yard TD run. After another Boise three and out, James will score again, this one for only one yard to cut the lead to six. That is as close as they would get. Boise takes the next drive 80 yards in five plays ending with Martin scoring from two yards out. Oregon goes three and out and their punt is returned all the way to the 3. Moore throws a TD to Pettis on the first play of the drive. The Ducks punt again to close the 3rd. BSU makes short work of another drive with Moore finding Shoemaker in the end zone for the score. Oregon’s next drive ends with Thomas throwing an interception at the Bronco 15. This Boise drive goes 85 yards and ends with Martin scoring his 6th touchdown from a yard out. On this day, the Broncos were too much to handle. BSU WINS 65-24.
Posted on: December 29, 2010 4:45 pm
Edited on: December 29, 2010 4:48 pm

Updated Bracket -- Quaterfinals

Here's how it looks so far.

1) Auburn
8) Michigan St.
Played at the Sugar Bowl

4) Wisconsin
5) Stanford
Played at the Orange Bowl

3) TCU
11) Virginia Tech
Played at the Fiesta Bowl

2) Oregon
10) Boise St.
Played at the Rose Bowl
Posted on: December 29, 2010 4:41 pm
Edited on: December 29, 2010 4:42 pm

D-1A Playoffs First Round -- Bottom Half

Thanks to whatifsports.com for their simulation machine.

14) Central Florida at 3) Texas Christian


UCF takes the opening drive 51 yards, but has to settle for a field goal. Evans for TCU answers back with a 50-yarder on their opening drive. Both teams punt twice to end the 1<sup>st</sup>. After a couple more punts to start the 2<sup>nd</sup>, UCF puts together some offense and Davis eventually gets into the end zone with a 7-yard rush, but, the extra point is no good. Then the Horned Frogs wake up. The next drive goes 73 yards, with Dalton finding Johnson in the end zone. The defenses hold for the rest of the 2<sup>nd</sup>. HALFTIME SCORE 10-9 TCU


Both teams punt to open the 3<sup>rd</sup>. On their second possession, TCU goes 64 yards in only 4 plays after Wesley ran for 34 yards and a score. After a couple more punts, TCU gets another quick drive, this one 6 plays and 93 yards. Tucker finds the end zone on a 46-yard scamper. TCU’s defense then stops the Knights on their next drive when they fail on 4<sup>th</sup> down. TCU quickly drives the ball toward the end zone again, but Young loses the ball and UCF recovers. Cattoi hits a 45-yard field goal for UCF on their next drive. From now on, UCF is in four down territory, but they can never make anything of it. At one point, they give the ball up on their own 3 yard line. The next play sees Dalton finding Kerley for another touchdown. TCU’s defense holds for the rest of the game. TCU WINS 31-12.



11) Virginia Tech at 6) Ohio State


The Hokies get the opening kickoff and reel off a 17 play, 70 yard drive, capped off by a 1 yard rush by Williams. Ohio State drives down the field as well, bu they come up empty as Barclay missed a 47-yarder. Va. Tech then puts together another long drive, this one 11 plays, 70 yards. Roberts catches a 25 yard pass from Taylor to score. After an OSU punt, Taylor is picked off by Barnett who takes it to the house. After another time-consuming drive, Hazley kicks a 43-yard field goal for the Hokies. Barclay would later kick a 26-yarder for the Buckeyes. Va. Tech gets the ball then with 1 second on the clock, and that’s all they would need. Taylor completes a 48-yard Hail Mary to Coale as time expires for a touchdown. HALFTIME SCORE 24-10 VT


Both teams trade punts to open the half. On the second play of the Buckeyes second possession, Saine loses the ball and Va. Tech recovers. 6 plays and 66 yards later, Wilson breaks off a 19 yard run for the touchdown. The Buckeyes follow that up with a 35-yard field goal. Hazley attempts a field goal from 48 yards, but it is no good. On the next drive, Pryor is picked off at the VT 11 by Edwards. After a few punts, OSU mounts a comeback in the 4<sup>th</sup>. With 4:46 on the clock, Pryor finds Saine for a 1-yard touchdown catch to trail by 11. The lead is extended to 14 after a Hazley field goal with 2:42 on the clock. Pryor leads the Buckeyes down the field to score a touchdown with 1:08 to play after he scrambles for 10 yards. But, VT recovers the ensuing onside kick. VT WINS 34-27.



10) Boise St. at 7) Arkansas


Both teams trade punts to open the game. In BSU’s next possession, Avery finishes the drive with a 3 yard touchdown run. Arkansas answers right back; Mallett finds Tucker in the end zone from 12 yards out. On the first play in the 2<sup>nd</sup>, Moore is intercepted by Crim. Two plays later, Davis rumbles for 68 yards and a touchdown. Boise answers with an 8 play, 73 yard drive capped by a 7 yard pass from Moore to Efaw. Defenses then step up. Mallett is intercepted twice and Boise fails to capitalize. With 23 seconds before the half, Arkansas is stopped on fourth down from their own 2. On the next play, Leon picks off Moore. Arkansas kicks a field goal to close the half. HALFTIME SCORE 17-14 ARKANSAS.


The opening drive leads to a field goal for Hocker of Arkansas. Brotzman answers back with a 37-yarder for the Broncos. Both teams would then punt, but Arkansas takes theirs 68 yards for a touchdown. Starting the 4<sup>th</sup>, Moore throws a 17-yard touchdown pass to Potter to cut the lead to 3. Hocker then kicks a 35-yard field goal to increase the Razorback lead to 6. It then takes Boise just 3 plays to go 80 yards for the touchdown to go up by 1. Arkansas then puts together a 12 play, 69 yard drive after Mallett hits Adams with a 2 yard strike. But, the two point attempt is no good. After Moore is intercepted again, Mallett throws another touchdown, this one to Williams to go up by 12 with 2:52 to play. On the ensuing drive, the Broncos score on a 9-yard run by Avery to cut the lead to 5. BSU then recovers the onside kick at their own 41. On 4<sup>th</sup> down with 13 seconds on the clock from the 8 yard line, Moore finds Potter in the end zone for the game winner. The two point attempt fails. BOISE ST. WINS 44-43.



15) Miami (OH) at 2) Oregon


Turnovers start this game: Maehl fumbles for Oregon and Dysert is picked off for Miami. The next drive sees Oregon march down the field and Barner scoring from 2 yards out on 4<sup>th</sup> down. Cook misses a field goal for Miami, but they get the ball back after Oregon punts. Miami then quickly goes down the field to score when Dysert finds Paine for a 9-yard touchdown. The extra point, though was blocked. On Oregon’s 2<sup>nd</sup> play, Thomas is picked off by Nunley. Six plays later, Dysert hits Paine again for a touchdown, this one from 8 yards out. Then Oregon takes over. Beard hits a 42-yard field goal at the start of the 2<sup>nd</sup>. Then, after a three and out and a great return to the RedHawks 27, James finds the end zone from 2 yards out. After another three and out and a return to the Miami 36, James finds the end zone again, this time from 4 yards out. Oregon then stops Miami again on three plays. James finished this drive out on a 1-yard pitch for another score. Another three and out leads to a Beard field goal for Oregon as the half ends. HALFTIME SCORE 34-13 OREGON.


The 2<sup>nd</sup> half starts with…you guessed it, a Miami three and out. The ensuing Oregon drive is finished with a Thomas pass to Huff for a touchdown. Miami’s next drive doesn’t even make it to three plays. Robinson catches a pass but then fumbles and Oregon recovers. But, Oregon is held to a 26-yard field goal from Beard. The RedHawks actually get some offense together and score a touchdown on a 5-yard pass from Dysert to Robinson. The two teams trade possessions to open the 4<sup>th</sup>. Finally, James gets free and scores from 27-yards out. The extra point is no good. The next Miami possession stalls at the 8 when they cannot convert on 4<sup>th</sup> down. Two plays later, Thomas is sacked in the end zone for a Miami safety. The RedHawks take their next possession 54 yards for a touchdown with a 15-yard pass from Dysert to Givens. But, it’s too little, too late. OREGON WINS 50-29.

The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com